The official motivation is that in Orban’s Hungary, the rule of law is allegedly under threat, and the Budapest government does not respect “European values, democracy, and human rights”.
Nothing could be further from the truth.
Not only those in the “first wave” of 2015, but also in the newest, who are now in camps in Greece, Italy, and other countries.
However, the parliament’s resolution is just a recommendation, and the European Council must take the decision unanimously.
This, very likely, will not happen.
Poland has already announced that it will support Hungary, and it is assumed that Italy will take the same position. Countries respecting the sovereignty of others are on the rise in the EU. Countries opposed to unmitigated immigration are rising.
What is the significance of these movements?
If we take the last three years into consideration, we see a division in Europe between a German bloc, plus France, and, on the other side, the Eastern countries, plus Italy. The German bloc is based on the mainstream globalist ideology – a kind of social liberalism. This trend involves centralization of decisions in Brussels and favors, first of all, Germany and its crony satellites.
The other side of Europe is much less homogeneous.
In Poland and Hungary, the trend is conservative and nationalist. But it is clear that these two countries cannot cope alone with pressure coming from the German-French bloc.
Other Eastern countries are hesitant. Their national interests would dictate to join Poland and Hungary, but their economies depend, to a large extent, on the German-French bloc. In recent weeks, there has been an increase of Germany’s diplomatic actions in the region.
It is an aggressive diplomacy that looks a lot like lobbying, even bullying.
What are the stakes of these movements?
Whoever looks on the map clearly sees that Poland, Hungary, and the other Eastern countries form a cordon between Berlin and Moscow. Clipping this cord to one side would give that side a real power that would lead to a major reconfiguration of the geopolitical chessboard.
Eastern countries realize they cannot join Russia. At the same time, Germany offers them an “unfair deal”.
Hence the question: Where is America? Unofficially, Eastern political circles are waiting for a more direct signal from Washington. They want to see Trump’s hand and are keen to follow it.
Meanwhile, on the agenda of the European Parliament’s October session is the situation of the rule of law in Romania.
Here, the government is much weaker and less popular than in Hungary. It was not by chance that Mrs. Merkel’s pick for president of the European Commission, Manfred Weber, criticized the Bucharest government in harsher terms than the ones used regarding Budapest. Germany wants to dictate everything in Europe: east and west.
What is going to happen?
If the European Parliament takes the same decision it took in Hungary’s case, Romania will have two options: one is to recognize its “guilt” and align itself with the German bloc.
The other is to join Poland and Hungary.
I am a Member of the European Parliament and my experience in European politics, though modest, makes me wonder why the mainstream political arena is so dominated by the German group?
Why is it so fierce in acting towards the polarization and division of Europe?
If Eastern Europe is “punished” by Brussels and, if the United States is delaying to come to its rightful place and role, first of all, as regards the financial investments in the region, and secondarily the military stance, then someone else will come.